WHO issued recommendations what age to do exercise

 World Health Organization recently developed a recommendations. National sports expert analysis on the control

tired kids sports to point

WHO recommendations: 5 to 17 year-old children and adolescents, at least 60 minutes a day in total high-intensity physical activity to wait.

associate professor of Beijing Normal University, Zhao Jisheng of sport, said: This stage is the child body a long time, exercise intensity be a little bit tired, it does not matter, it is best to anaerobic exercise, such as the 100 meters faster run twice, the purpose is movement in the shortest time to reach peak value, in order to stimulate a balanced development of various organs, is conducive to growth and development and other musculoskeletal tissues.

movement can be diverse, the key is the intensity of exercise to go up, but walking is difficult to achieve the movement of this age requirement. Therefore, children are often not exercise walk.

13 years old this year, Xicheng District, Beijing Institute of Education High School Attached to Beijing Chao-heng Zhu students, said: table tennis, one hour of night basketball. Saturdays and Sundays, it may be to swim.

adult movement to a long point

WHO recommends: adults aged 18 to 64, at least 150 minutes per week moderate-intensity aerobic activity, while at least two days a week for a large The strongest muscle in muscle activity.

experts believe that, compared with adolescents, adults, exercise intensity down, but the longer exercise time, and mainly to aerobic exercise, which is more emphasis on the sustainability movement. Busy urban people, exercise time is squeezed out, and usually active on the move, make good use of time, such as to walk to work, lunch break to do 10 minutes brisk walking or climbing stairs, as long as the repeated within a week (each times at least 10 minutes), and finally accumulated 150 minutes on the line.

for large muscle groups involved in the muscle activity, Professor Zhao Jisheng that this is to strengthen the hip, leg movement, because the body's large muscle groups is the biggest ass. Developed the large muscle groups, the main purpose is to better squeeze blood vessels, accelerate blood circulation, especially venous blood returning to the heart. Therefore, the more the jump, squat can be effective weight-bearing exercise large muscle groups.

44, China Agricultural University, Department of Nutrition and Food Safety, Associate Professor FAN Zhi said: Special Palei. I feel that as long as take some time to exercise and stick to it, we can effectively maintain the physical, to 'recommend' requirements. four or five o'clock in the afternoon on weekdays, as long as the weather is good, my husband and I are empty, it will appointment to the Summer Palace with a long walk and jogging. room must attack the muscles of movement are also important. I'm on the balcony office put a lot of fitness equipment, such as Rally, hula hoop, rope skipping, shuttlecock, etc., must attack at any time to exercise. / p>

old campaign to steady point

WHO recommends that: For 65 years or older, at least 3 days per week increased balance and fall prevention activities.

experts say, the elderly due to motor system and nervous system depression, muscle aging, often less than the eye hand. For example, some elderly people to play dates with bamboo sticks, the name of the name of their own to fall, and this is the command of the eyes but can not see the body, hand-eye coordination which led to the deviation of wrestling. Eyes closed, one leg standing balance test can detect good and bad for the elderly, that is standing on one foot in one eye closed, if the time in 5 seconds or less, indicating that the body balance is poor, training in this area should be strengthened, especially in lower limbs exercise, such as walking, squat, tai chi and so on.

need to be reminded, there are specific diseases (such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes) patients, exercise certain precautions need to be taken before and seek medical advice.

, 65 of the Beijing Military General Hospital, Room microcirculation Professor Zhang Junjie, said: also could not carry ah. If the weather is good, kite-flying is my favorite. chin up, head lifted up his eyes, looked around, moderate pitch, really claim to be a recipe for prevention and treatment of cervical spondylosis. If the weather is bad, Softball also good practice is usually a few old people, a slightly modified badminton racket, a heavier texture of reduced flexibility in tennis on the line. such as promoting a unit, together with the whole family to move, mutual promotion and common health. (Xinhua Bai Yang)

Megan `s Law II story between husband and wife

 Megan drove back home, hoping for her entry Germany certainly has, and his Friends of Dogs and pigs are messing around in the bar. think I will let him off this time. ready prepared. he did the only thing against this, how can I reward him? ah, well, he was spanked tonight, I will play more important to reward him more. losses are in the bar, but when the bill sent, I will give you enough song, smiling, she was to not follow the rules for her husband, no one discipline to develop some new house rules. ; Megan happy thought, hairbrush. palms about, snapped, this . finished looking at the directory, the beautiful face was stern determination, she read it, make some changes. bad smile, use them to teach you, days later you will beg me to use them crying. Oh, ha ha ha ha. !, living room, in the living room door he suddenly stopped.
Megan sat on the bed, looks like a statue, long-sleeved shirt with white lace collar, navy blue pleated mini skirt with a long navy blue socks and high heels. gorgeous red hair had already put up with her emerald eyes perfectly set off her charming face. lips a deep red lipstick adorned with her proper pruning nail each other. fingernail gently patting his arm, she stared at her surprised husband, his eyes full of restrained but still faint after burning anger. Megan slightly taut thighs under miniskirts, Ted's eyes away immediately , and seemed to understand she was angry. It made him feel cold. > he was disturbed to swallow a mouthful of saliva, said: thought, the child. Road, she questioned. . restless swallow the saliva, slowly close to his wife suddenly assertive, fear, as if she is an alien creature. looked at him sideways slowly came to the line of sight to avoid her. rely on her right knee when he stood, she told him, I set some rules, you may not like them much, but you have to follow their guidelines. You can only make you are allowed to be, otherwise you have to accept the punishment; you know? ah? br> He began to tremble with fear, and then try to squeeze a trace of Mei Xiao, trying to ease the situation. .
Megan stood up and aimed her spouse with the right hand is a slap on his left cheek, followed by a five-leave fingerprints on his face. Ted is afraid and shocked, but Megan does not look on his face to a trace of anger, as if he knew what he should be, and she was entitled to punish him. so his attention on, the harsh tone of Megan's terrible, explained: You like a spoiled child, like walking around, I also look forward to after-care for you. From now on, you have to behave well, if you act like a child again, then you're waiting for me to discipline their children as you like , I see you? action, more afraid of her dignified manner. It only dare to touch his face, so he does not ache so much, He does not dare to say, he succumbed to his full-fledged wife. Megan waiting for him to say something But look at him huddle, the sake of the little boy, I'm very disappointed, Ted. In the past I always indulge you, and now for your good, I want to hit you good meal ass. Ted was very surprised that she allowed him his sentence stunned. his eyes to stare out almost unconsciously, he revealed a trace of smirk, his mouth wide open, and then immediately hear Megan harsh Ted boos, a cute red-haired beauty took her husband's belt and quickly untied it, and then suddenly pulled his pants down. Ted was scared, but men's self-esteem to resist his efforts, although this is only a symbol of nature, he grabbed his underwear, but Megan's hand was immediately destroyed rapidly, and then her left hand grasped the front of his shirt and dragged him before. He is dumbfounded, then Megan fan in the face again a couple of harsh.
I had enough of your childish behavior! The hit your ass! live belt, suddenly pulled his underwear down. Ted has been completely the confusion, he succumb to his fate, no longer tried to resist.
Megan Ted feeling light light yo ass, first tap a few times, then gave him a harsh slap ass, red, looked at him very proud of Megan tic twist. like, like Jennifer, Megan beat his ass while the side rebuke him, and crisp sound and her rap beat intertwined.
Like baby fart abuses, is it? is not it? ah? continue to severely hit the light of his ass. After a long period of spanking, Megan tightly twisted his left ear, dragged him up from the thigh.
Ted was a good fight Dayton ass, and now he finally convinced Megan was serious, spread throughout the beautiful wife of his eyes still blinking frosty face, trying to figure out what just happened. so easy for her to control him and make him tremble with fear Megan is about to laugh out loud. He rely on her standing, as shame and blushed like a child to rub his buttocks, so they do not ache so much. announced that he was banished to the living room corner, he can not think of another meaning of the expression of his face. pause children, he Xiaoshengdewen, behind, Megan tightly close to his, mock sneer asked, the ankle on the clothing, and remember how he had just been spanked and he was loud and can do nothing, thinking, and my heart is a good joke, and still his stern command, root pleasant thought, Ted saw its usefulness to understand the fear, pain, stinging him.
footsteps moving slowly to remind Megan, little man back. She sat there checking things listed in the afternoon, she inadvertently glanced at him, and immediately a finger, the finger pointing to the red corner, lying on my knee again, you naughty bare bottom hairbrush will be in your hands swollen and he beat the red. I will beat you severely, and you will feel time flies too slowly, of course, the time penalty will not be short. little Ted, do not say a word, or I will play after the more important, you do not want, is it? ah? bare bottom should be severely whipped, until you take all sit down, and I am ready to do, like you, Oh, do not reveal the kind of expression, I know you, you'll like it. You know you need this, That is one of my punishment to you, you will look forward to the other, right? Now, do as I say, immediately. . Megan saw his beautiful Honghen small round ass, thinking: , and I got down to business, and a large number of projects to be amended, I'll make him understand that he will be completely controlled. Megan has already placed a chair in the living room, wayward spouse lying in her lap when it can make her more comfortable. She sat down, called him, , the small things. Now that you first real spanking coming, like it? you will like, I'm sure. He handed him the brush. pants and underwear still around his ankles, he made a pitiful miserable, but she just felt like laughing.
Megan, honey ...,lover, you will work hard, ; I will brush you you want me to play more important? the right balance. and then, left arm and hold her back, she held high brush, pointed at his bare bottom is a rapidly punch. ah. Baby, please!, O, oh, you. shouting, panting, Megan constantly slap, scold him from time to time.
get used to it! defeat the program to learn from the things that Jennifer is very good application. ass beating did not stop, and his right wrist was immediately pressed on the back, in order to let him regret it. Megan really like looking at his little ass shaking tight after blow, Jennifer really is: the upper thigh really is a special point, when she blows it, it will a sharp popping sound, followed her husband will not help the issue of harsh cry, which made her body so hot. Despite his begging, crying, and she continued on his ass beat the whole until the whole of his ass fired generally red. until she stopped, let go of his hand, he still can only lie on the thigh before sobbing. She let him slide down from the knees, kneeling in front of her. looked at her little boy grow big tears cross-flow face, with a maternal love and affection, rubbing gently with tissue paper in his face, which makes Ted looked at her, and more fear of love. He had never thought she was such a strong-willed woman, until she Push to punish him dissolute behavior. his attitude change in his face revealed beyond doubt, she was very satisfied, even to her own satisfaction. that he unconsciously rubbed his red ass and then immediately stopped , looked at her face, shrink, as if waiting for his punishment, her heart began to smile.
. You will get more brushes for better than this. eight, so she raised her hairbrush to warn him, ; , standing face to face. continued, people ashamed of the small nothing. I assure you. you will like it, do not you?
her enjoy her newfound power, regret that I did not know earlier and earlier in their married life in use. She was properly punish her husband had still miserable, but she saw his face she had never seen the admiration and awe. her firm continued, ; given once or twice a week I think the tuning is necessary. across my knee, the pain hit you with this hairbrush bare bottom will provide the necessary stimulus, if you make bad behavior or bad attitude, waiting for you to be more punishment. what to say? so if I disturbed you, I was wrong, Maggie; there I love you, really, any of the things you said I would do ....feet, uncomfortable. Megan was really impressed, and her maternal instincts came into play. She was hugging her spouse discipline, like a mother, she was full of joy on the developments. Jennifer predicted that she would do Yes, it is moving in that direction, until now.
away from him, and she said softly, start again in tears, he looked at her hands hairbrush.
firmly believe that you will remember it. , Zhang was too big. red latex shorts as very fit. Megan smiled, she noticed he had a bit uncomfortable, and rubber to keep spanking her after a lot of heat. Jennifer said that will butt sweat pants, extension of the latter part of the role of spanking. his butt would itch and burnings an hour, and she will make him lie back in her lap, the follow-up spanking. When the shorts off, his bare bottom to heat up and humid enough for the smooth wood of the finished one, Ted will quickly say, increases in spending money on it. kitchen spotless: clean ceramic tile, porcelain, crystal, tableware flash; in the wash soaking pool has not Xupan Zi. clothes, put them neatly put away, I remind you that before. one, or more frequently when I asked. ; you want the market to determine the bedroom is collated, and on a regular basis to vacate all the trash. shorts. I tell you to perform any task
I hate your face like a photograph of a dead dog. If you do not look happy, I do not make you happier, you know what I mean? , the yield of the ass with a chair. you learn how to behave and obey I'm after. , little man, the room can hear is crying and begging for Ted, along with the heavy wooden hairbrush bare skin on the issue falls on the crisp sound. Ted rubber shorts caused by exposure to moisture so that each beat more effective, when Megan hit a long heavy butt of his, let him howl, twisting, and jumping. With each punch, she watched him become more and more red ass, and her left hand so that he The right hand does not work. reprimanded no longer necessary to the; she has said all need to say, leaving only hurt as much as possible to complete his naughty ass of his punishment.
When Megan finally the liberation of his when the total yield of the men from her thighs to stand up; she wanted him to organize the bathroom clean and ready for bed. Megan for her and poured himself a cup of tea, holding a warm cup in his hand, as she became the family long and proud. Ted initially may not be happy, but will gradually like to live under Megan's laws.

Schumpeter's business cycle theory from watching the current world economic recession

 Schumpeter's business cycle theory from watching the current world recession

Wesson
(This article had May 9, 2009
financial turmoil, the world economy is plunging into a recession. This situation needed the economic crisis of the past or the mechanism to analyze and sort out. people familiar with the current lack of effective demand led Keynesian full employment of non-equilibrium model is different from this paper attempts to Schumpeter's business cycle theory to the current world of deep economic recession do to the theory of interpretation. Section II of Schumpeter's the basic pattern of the world economy since the 20th century and its evolution since the 50s, Western countries may now be raised is in the ; Kondratieff long wave This last section, as a period of rapid growth in developing countries, in Western countries face long-term case of weak economic growth, we must change the past to rely on export-oriented national development strategies and instead adopt a enriching the people The current world economic recession deeper theoretical explanation needed
second half of 2007, the global financial crisis after another, followed the current world economic recession. It appears that this by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis triggered by The world economic recession is still deepening, and not much sign of recovery. In the last couple of years the world financial crisis and economic recession, when some new data came out, economists and financial commentators on the economic situation to have make some immediate interpretation and judgments. However, surprising is that so far very few scholars to explore the basic theoretical work in this global financial crisis and the underlying causes of economic recession, and most people just stay in the The financial and economic crisis of some description of surface phenomena, or the survey data with some immediate timetable for the economic recovery to do arbitrary assumptions and expectations. from 1979 to 1983 recession, Western countries and the world economy has experienced over 20 years of prosperity, that people seem to forget in the early 21st century the economic recession at all, which for many people, this world-wide recession seems to be a sudden fall from the sky. In neither thinking deep theoretical explanation for the lack of cases, governments in the formulation of macroeconomic policy makers, often stop-gap measure, not only swings, lack of policy continuity, and even some confusion endless.
as Beginning of this worldwide economic recession in the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, so far, international and domestic economics and financial media are also many financial crises from the process and its impact on the real economy to speak of this world now recession. In the phenomenon of level, the current theory and general industry consensus is reached: (1) over the U.S. financial innovation and financial liberalization led to the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the main reason; (2) a few years ago the United States deregulation of financial regulators and lack of supervision, moral hazard in financial markets increased, exacerbated by over-leveraged financial products, the extent of damage; (3) With the deepening financial crisis in western countries, while middle-class wealth, consumption the confidence of those who fall, consumer demand fell sharply; the other hand, business confidence index fell, credit crunch, new sources of investment dried up; end the financial crisis through two channels of investment and consumption led to the decline of the real economy. in accordance with the above-mentioned phenomenon description of this world out of recession the bane of all issues in the financial system. Now the question is: Is this really so?
in the academic community has not fully sorted out from the basic theoretical level, this global economic downturn the underlying causes of the situation, wave after wave hit the global financial crisis after another, national government policy makers have no choice, all will fall into place all invoke the face of Keynesian economic theory, have adopted an expansionary fiscal policy deficit and take the maximum extent possible to increase the monetary policy currency to use some temporary macro policy options to stimulate economic recovery. results, since 2008, governments stimulate an economic recovery take a strong medicine agent, and a more than a fierce, both short-term regardless of the validity of long-term negative effects are not considered, as long as there is little to promote economic recovery, how can the future Hongshuitaotian hell!
now, although this times and the worldwide economic recession, not a big crisis of 1929-1933 brought about the destruction of human society as tragic, but apparently has been since the last major crisis of the broadest and deepest range of time. From this point of view Compare these two global economic recession and the differences between the same, from the basic level of analysis and economic theory to sort out these two great causes and mechanism of the crisis on governments to develop appropriate strategic policy of economic recovery, is clearly necessary and must. Based on this consideration, review the major crisis of 1929-1933 a number of human intellectual master of the economic fluctuations and business cycle theory of reflection and interpretation, it seems not without lessons learned. in the economic crisis thinking and business cycle theory estate, people are more familiar with the current theory of Keynes and Friedman, but the successor of the Austrian School Rothbard (Murray N. Rothbard) and Schumpeter (Joseph A. Schumpeter, 1883 ~ 1950) of the business cycle theory , but has not given sufficient attention and importance. However, in my opinion, in the understanding and awareness of the current worldwide economic downturn in this respect, the Austrian theory of economic crisis, especially mm Schumpeter's business cycle theory, than Keynes and Friedman's crisis theory, a more thought-provoking, and there may be more explanatory power.
(b) the theoretical explanation of recession: lack of effective demand from Keynes to Schumpeter's technology

1929-1933 wave of innovation in the sudden worldwide outbreak of the Great Depression dealt a heavy blow to the Western developed economies. At that time the situation forced the Western countries economists and government officials to strive to reflect the economic predecessors theory, and hope to find That caused a major crisis in human history, the source of rare and depression from recession and rapid recovery in the policy prescription. In this case, John Maynard Keynes (Keynes, 1936) (the core idea is, through the interest rate the savings into investment and changes in wage rates by means of regulating the labor market supply and demand voluntary market mechanism does not automatically create the kind of full employment, effective demand needed, therefore, to achieve full employment The Government must abandon the traditional policy of laissez-faire in favor of active fiscal and monetary policies to ensure adequate effective demand, to motivate the economy back to full employment equilibrium. In Keynes's basic theoretical framework, the economic downturn rooted in the lack of effective demand, and effective demand is determined by people's role. Keynes further pointed out that aggregate demand is consumer demand and investment demand and the composition. people's propensity to consume is stable in the short term, but in the long term, a declining trend, the result will cause people to keep up with consumption growth in revenue growth, thus causing lack of consumer demand. Keynes also believed that the volume of investment by the interest rate and the expected marginal rate of return of capital is determined. As people on the basis of expected future earnings of capital is very fragile and will often fluctuate, which often caused by lack of investment demand. In three of insufficient effective demand led to psychological factors, Keynes also emphasized the role of the marginal efficiency of capital. He believes that in times of economic prosperity, most people are optimistic about the future earnings of capital is expected, while costs and interest rates also with the rise, then investment expansion will inevitably lead to decline in the marginal efficiency of capital and thus less attractive investment, coupled with uncertainty about the future expectations of increased wealth on the demand to hold money, these factors play a role and will lead to higher interest rates, thereby increasing the stock of future earnings drop. In this series of mechanisms and processes under the integration will eventually lead to lack of investment demand. Based on the above reasoning, Keynes thought the operation of a modern market economy itself to Ping valid potential lack of demand, as well as market economy can not run itself automatically to achieve full employment, are often caught in non-full employment equilibrium.
today read Keynes's explanation, rather than policy proposals to his lack of effective demand theory, also mainly aimed at the modern market economy in theory reveal the African cause of full employment and balanced, and not directly explain the cyclical fluctuations in the modern market economy. However, The publication of the Western governments policy makers by surprise to find a great crisis to come out from a panacea, so all the gods and prophets as Keynes Bong, in accordance with the Keynesian policy instruments on the theory of effective demand stimulus ideas have been taken to rely on government to increase fiscal deficit by printing money to invest and expand to macro policies to stimulate economic recovery. Thus, there is more than 40 years after World War II so-called br> Keynes's recession, turn on the television, read newspapers, or enter into any financial Web site, read or hear comments on financial commentators and economists, you will find if you are repeating Keynes's theory and the perspective to As Keynes's theory seems to have become economists and financial commentators themselves feel more of an observation can not remove the economic world colored contact lenses.
completely different with Keynes, Schumpeter's business cycle theory from another perspective on the modern market economy downturn provides an alternative explanation, and theoretical economists in the West had a certain impact. Schumpeter's business cycle theory, mainly from the perspective of technological innovation to explain economic fluctuations and the business cycle, the main argument is mainly concentrated in the Schumpeterian (Schumpeter, 1927; 1934; 1939) , 1942) and other text book (Schumpeter, 1986), there are also some discussions. especially the However, when this book was published in 1939, Keynes's . particularly since the 2008 advent of this global recession, the Schumpeter's business cycle theory, the appropriateness of the problem has not been noticed by the majority of economists.
according to Schumpeter's theory, market economy itself has intrinsic characteristics of boom and bust cycle, and innovative production technology and production methods change plays a paramount role. in the mode of pure theory, Schumpeter assumes that the entrepreneur's innovation is an independent endogenous factors, is caused by the modern market economy presents fundamental cause of cyclical fluctuations. In the To obtain excess profits, continue to innovate, create ; economic development (5) the organizational innovation of enterprises. Schumpeter also proposed that when the wave of innovation occurs, the community of bank credit and the demand of production will expand, causing economic expansion. According to this idea, in the , leading to economic prosperity. However, the emergence of new products and increased competition, commodity prices will also tend to decline, reducing opportunities for corporate earnings. Then, the bank credit contraction. Finally, the economic system from the boom into recession, and so on back and forth. in accordance with Schumpeter's theory, when the business cycle from business cycle to the bottom, it was also some entrepreneurs have been eliminated while others are entrepreneurs must be home business opportunities, the market is difficult to recover from the recession, or will be a long recovery process.
According to the theory of business cycles in the pure reasoning, Schumpeter proposed the business cycle that in the modern market economy in the existence of first wave . production needs and consumer demand increases, will lead to rising prices. In the case of general rise in prices, there will be many investment opportunities, and with a lot of . includes not only recession, investment activities not only tend to disappear, but will also cause some damage. to not the same impact, the economic cycle length is not the same.
on the basis of theoretical reasoning above, Schumpeter also summarized the previous discussion of the business cycle on the proposed economic development in the history of modern capitalism at the same time there are three points of business cycles, which were Kondratieff cycle (Kondreatief Circle), Zhu Guerra cycle (Juglar Circle) and Kitchin cycle (Kitchin Circle), the time roughly 60 years, respectively, 10 and 40 months. First of all, according to economist Nicholas of Russia. D. Kondratieff (Kondratiev, 1979) research, the development of capitalist economy, Schumpeter put into three long periods: (1 ) 80 years from the 18th century to the 1842 development of the industrial revolution period, in which the textile industry of era proposed, from a historical point of view, a long period in each of 6 and 18 in the short-period cycles, and modern economic growth in the economic cycle, the cycle is implemented. In this group of entrepreneurs driven by innovation cycle of the business cycle in the process of modern economic growth is along the
(c) from the wave of technological innovation and economic fluctuations in relationship to see the current world recession
Schumpeter's business cycle theory is to fully absorb and learn from their predecessors (including Marx) cyclical economic prosperity of the modern market put forward to explain the phenomenon to the theory, and apparently on the 1929 to 1933 with the Great Depression of the theoretical analysis and reflection of the scene. today's perspective, Schumpeter's reference to some of the extreme (such as ) in today's ideas, inspire people to better understand and grasp the current global economic recession because of this and future trends. from the perspective of Schumpeter's business cycle theory to look at this global mechanism of the deep recession, we will find, though field on the surface appears to be triggered by the global financial crisis bit like the world economic recession, sudden, or made thanks to the widespread, but if the reflection in the past 20 years in the world (particularly the United States and other Western countries) science and technology and economic development of the interactive process, there seems to be that in which its inner necessity. Because, whether from the Kondratieff long cycle theory and predictions from Zhu to look at Glasgow in the period since the 20th century, Western countries 80 economic evolution, will find this a worldwide recession would have happened long overdue, but in the 20th century and the turn of the 21st century world of economic globalization and the IT associated with this rapid information technology network development of interaction between the two, due to counter-cyclical monetary policy the Federal Reserve, Wall Street and financial markets in Western countries, the innovation of financial derivatives, the globalization of world economy, the division of labor, and the rapid flow of international capital factors such as cross-border delay and delay down. In fact, real economic sectors in western countries as early as the engine of growth has become weak in the late 20th century, but because of financial derivatives in these countries continue to developed countries, people are indulging in a virtual financial asset inflation caused by the fond dreams of continued prosperity. only because of U.S. subprime mortgage crisis triggered by the U.S. and other Western countries in the financial asset bubble burst, followed by financial assets deleveraging and recession in the real sector, it is now a rude awakening. From this, the United States since 2008, and some of its major Western developed countries had negative growth in the economy, but in reality is a delayed onset of economic recession Under the impact of the financial turmoil it actually took place. For this judge, we can be specific in explaining the following three aspects:
First, from the Kondratieff long cycle theory point of view, if from 80 18th century Western Europe to 1842 is the textile industry innovation cycle, from 1842 to 1897 was the steam engine, steel or railway era, from 1897 to the 20th century, 50 years of electrical, chemical and automobile industry, then the times and , then the mid-50s from the 20th century to the early 21st century is from nuclear energy, aviation and aerospace technology, and computer, IT network of the rapid development of information technology-driven economic growth era. The long wave of economic growth and can be referred to as by the to judge, the United States and other Western developed economies as early as 7-8 years ago should have adjusted a business recession. However, since July 1990 to March 1991 the United States for a brief decline in economic growth since the Since 2008, U.S. economic recession, the United States as leader of the Western developed countries but so far has been 18 years of economic growth. If not for the slight decline in 1990-1991 and the 2001 decline in U.S. short-term macro-economic growth, self- 1979 to 1983 the United States and Western countries to the economic recession since 2008 this economic recession, the entire Western world has maintained more than a quarter century of economic growth. Throughout the modern history of the world, this is a mm rare species can even say a little had appeared on the U.S. economy slowdown in economic growth to near-0 short-term phenomenon. At the time, in order to avoid a recession, the Fed has taken a series series of macro policies to stimulate economic growth. For example, from January 2001 to June 2003 U.S. federal funds rate 13 consecutive times lower, down from 6.5% to 1% of the historically low levels. To some extent these measures slow the decline of the U.S. economy. the Federal Reserve to stimulate the result of macroeconomic policies, the United States the real estate market continues to boom, house prices rise, asset prices have also inflated. Meanwhile, the U.S. housing mortgage loans in the banking industry on a variety of financial products, derivatives in the continuous consumer demand. As a result, the past 20 years, the U.S. average annual growth rate of real consumer demand as high as 3.5% (see Chen Jiyong, etc., 2009, page 74). It is a combination of the above factors, delaying the United States and schedule of economic recession in Western countries.
Second, since the 20th century, 80 years, with computer technology and IT network information technology, the rapid development of world economy globalization accelerating, so that the early 21st century, countries in the world to varying degrees, into the manufacturing and the globalization of production and consumption of division of labor among the world's financial system while the process of globalization along with the rapid development of IT and network technology accelerated. in this global financial system , manufacturing and production and consumption in the global division of labor, the United States on its own well-developed financial market system, relatively complete legal system, and the division of labor in the global science and technology in the leading position in leading the global high-tech development, on their own normative standards in science and technology, intellectual property, marketing channels, pricing of financial assets and other aspects of dominant position, on the one hand the domestic manufacturing assets in the expansion of the illusion of wealth, on the other hand rely on division of labor in a globalized world the supremacy of the system to a large number of imports from East Asia and emerging market economies and cheap goods. The result of the U.S. current account deficit over the years there have been massive. In this pattern, the huge U.S. oil-exporting countries and East Asian economies have accumulated huge trade surplus as large dollar down and back into the United States, the United States over the years to fill the high-consumption, low savings gap, supporting the financial sector in recent years the United States and other in fact, have been postponed to early in the 21st century, the United States should occur recession.
Finally, in the past 20 years, driven by the expansion of financial assets, the U.S. economy After the reforms of the real sector growth. In the past 20 years, the tide of world economic globalization, a large number of foreign investment and manufacturing of new technologies into the process of reform and opening up of China. inflow of foreign capital and the introduction of new manufacturing technologies, China's abundant low-cost labor with the endowment, in the global division of labor system, on the natural formation of a Chinese export-oriented economic growth. China, this growth pattern, but also with previous years, U.S. financial markets virtual prosperity and complementary asset bubble, so the Americans on the one hand to be in the virtual economy under the conditions of prosperity, from China and other developing countries to enjoy the cheap imported goods, on the other hand can also rely on international capital inflows to lack of domestic savings to make up for the financial support of the U.S. government financing constraints and the shortage of large enterprises may have constrained economic growth. In such a technology research and development and manufacturing division of labor, division of the globalization of production and consumption, and global flows of financial capital in the world system , China, India, Southeast Asia and emerging market economies from the United States and other developed countries thanks to the third technological revolution, the introduction of the results (which in Schumpeter's theory of meaning in the business cycle is actually a global scale technology delayed in the overall global division of labor on the other end of the chain's U.S. and other Western countries in the long-overdue recession happen. In this sense, China and other developing countries and some emerging market economies is The third technological revolution process, the Economic Community of Eastern and Western countries continued to grow, and thus give a false impression most people in the world today: economic growth in the business cycle problem does not exist, all of the past economic cycle theory seems all out of date. just After the second half of 2006, by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis has triggered waves of the global financial crisis from occurring, Western countries began to grow the real sector exposed the problem of inadequate power, as well as to present people seem to realize a dream Chu Xing, aware of the global economic downturn and suddenly seemed to come back, the last business cycle theory industry is not out of date, but also to crack down on people's confidence is so heavy. However, if Schumpeter's business cycle theory from a particular mm is the Kondratieff cycle theory mm long look at the current view of this global recession, everything seemed to be a natural and inevitable in the development process, it would seem that nothing is difficult to understand the. < br> From the above perspective to analyze the causes of global economic recession, we can for some people, the market allocation of economic resources as well as accusations of suspected critics make some response. At first glance some of the leftists to the to be the financial crisis caused by the global economic recession said to be free market theory defeat, and thus worldwide government interventionist ideas and policy options directed current can be described as even the clamor the dust. However, from the history of human society development process point of view, both in the East or West, whether in ancient or modern, almost all of the historical data show that, any government intervention in the economy and even the abolition of a large number, to resist and even where the performance of its long-term economic development are poor. This one is a very important example is the reform and opening up of China since 1978, rapid economic growth. In the past 30 years, the Chinese economy has achieved almost unprecedented in human history rapid growth, the most fundamental reason is that in the process of China's reform and opening up gradually introduced market mechanisms. Of course, the market in a way that the eyes of Hayek as a spontaneous expansion of order m is not a panacea it in their own development process will lead to various problems, and in accordance with Schumpeter's theory, the market economy is always the wave of technological innovation with the cyclical boom and bust fluctuations. However, as We can not expand in a market economy and growth in the spontaneous problem suspected human society, the market mechanism is the most effective allocation of resources the same way, we can not because the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis exposed the over-leveraged U.S. financial markets caused by the financial crisis of to suspected or negate the overall progress of financial innovation, the role and significance. the operation of a modern market economy, of course, can not do without government regulation; However, the Government using its macro-policy instruments and regulatory intervention in the economy, but also the inevitable limitations of the same and negative effects. As a major contemporary Austrian economist Rothbard (Rothbard, 1963) his way to plan, to arrange, to intervene to stimulate the economy will slow even in the short-term economic recession, when the factors that lead to economic recession, have piled up at the right time, when the crisis erupted, the economy will fall deeper and ruinous will be greater, the road to recovery will be longer. In sum, if the government market intervention and direct control over, and even the Government itself has become a society of wealth and control of the largest owners, from the long term, the results will be worse.
since the financial crisis, developed countries have a large number of financial assets shrink, many countries have experienced negative economic growth, and many companies closed down, the factory closed, a large number of employees and workers, the unemployed, and many new entrants the job market can not find work, even some people were forced to auction their own property, this is the financial and economic crisis has brought to people's misfortune and disaster. So far, the world's worst case of economic recession is not over yet , how long the crisis will continue, when will ...

A Middle School described the wonderful beauty of love

 I liked that feeling, knowing that some things can not, is not the time or the result will be serious consequences. However, the heart can not help but think it will, under the control of the body in the brain to think of crazy ideas too . then, and the sweat. now suddenly have a feeling, sometimes a vegetative state or paralysis is a blessing! I've been thinking about that woman, that woman in line to see (within 10 hours of a woman having sex 200 times ), the article about her and her dialogue and journalists, and I looked down and down word for word, very carefully, very carefully. that after nearly 200 sexual intercourse, swelling of her lower body more than a week before resuming she said. : is a surreal feeling. Moreover, the people are very strange, some kind of body fluid can make some people can not help but act something. There is a subconscious, I think I have such a body something, perhaps, everyone has, whether or not it is strong. that kind of feel the same as the blood flows through the body when the body is hot. is a very strong heat. only the skin, only that it quickly into a fast one, people think this comfortable. sex, everyone has. women more than men, and color. I like to ride the bus, cross the road, or at school, shopping on the road, watching After the men around. Sometimes I see a man with small impulse. Of course, most men just look in my eyes over it. I know that in the I like it. I like sex, I will let 8 years old than me boyfriend 3 times within 3 hours to climb my body, and each of the total in half an hour or more. that kind of feeling mm cool! He said he is a man of man. I nodded, smiling, not talk. he is. I felt, but also touched, very strong, very thick. Before, I never thought the initiative to touch male genitalia, gushing from him, but different now, since I like to let him gushing, hard look at it together bit by bit, whether by hand or oral sex. In fact, if men pay attention to health, women are very happy to perform oral sex. I like to feel his strong thick into my vagina, one entered. discharge a lot of skateboarding, and vaginal contraction is very powerful, lower body is swell, people comfortable surreal. Yes, the climax, really surreal feeling. suddenly interrupted her, to go deeper, a little pain, because thick. twitched back and forth, contracting, swell with, people are carried away the. climax, did not make the loss of consciousness or the feeling of the brain is empty, only then one will swell to an extreme, intoxicated to the extreme, just intoxicated. Yes, intoxicated. Buddhist sense of Unlike art appreciation, the joy of success is different from, that is what kind of intoxication? I do mind all search words can not describe. I think that experienced people will understand that sex is a pleasure , a kind of intoxication. like the erection of stout strong, like the climax of the swell, deep breathing heavily intoxication.

One Hundred Views of the city of Dongguan, natural beauty

 Nature
Lake Village, Long Sin continuous peaks Resort, Lake Island, contrast, beautiful scenery
Qifeng Park is located in Dongguan Road and East Road intersection, for the first eight scenic spots in Dongguan, Dongguan is a symbol of water POON Forest Park is the six forest park in Dongguan, one of the main peak of elevation 378 meters, dense forest, the Mountain People's Park, Dongguan City Shueisiou total area of 23 hectares, matched pavilions, various ornamental trees of more than one hundred kinds of Hu Ying Country Park is located in the foothills yellow, yard, beautiful environment, fresh air, lakes and mountains, beautiful landscape along DJ. Dongjiang is the mother of Dongguan, Dongguan City in the East River basin is 96% longer Wusha Beacon Hill Park, formerly the ancient Jingkang salt, has a long history, is the mirage Harbourfront area, there is Yongsan is located in the triple Fenggang village, covered with fruit trees, different spots, mountains bright ecological park with the sand in the Lower East Side, known as Dongguan large areas of wetland ecology Zhangmutou Kuanyin Mountain is a tourist, entertainment, health and religious culture as one of the national tourist attractions Yinping mountain peak 898 meters above sea level, is the first peak in Dongguan, has also spread Su verse: Dongpo Hui Yang, Yin Ping Shan north west Kuanyin Mountain, south of the town overlooking the Buddha Qing Ling Liao Bu Town Lake Park is located south of the country, known as Chau km stretch, Chau Jiaolin Pinnacle, such as water in the Green Island, overseas mountains, scenic mayong Jiaolin planting area, Since its landscape. mayong bananas national reputation, and popular throughout the country yellow Nioupu reservoir is flood control, water-based medium-sized reservoirs, planning for the lake tour, cycling theme park in Dongguan city landmark hundred

King

Sin Estate, Long Lake Resort peaks stretching, contrast Island Lake , beautiful scenery

Qifeng Park is located in Dongguan Avenue and the intersection of East Road, Dongguan Eight of the first, is the symbol of Dongguan

water Dongguan Lian six Forest Park Forest Park One of the main peak of 378 m above sea level, lush forests, mountain spirits Shueisiou

Dongguan Municipal People's Park has a total area of 23 hectares, matched pavilions, various ornamental trees of more than one hundred kinds of

Tiger Country Park is located in the British yellow foot, yard, beautiful environment, fresh air, lakes and mountains, beautiful

East along the Yangtze River landscape. Dongjiang is the mother of Dongguan, Dongguan City in the 96% fall East River Valley

Beacon Hill Park, formerly the ancient long Jingkang Wusha salt, has a long history, is the mirage Harbourfront area, there is Huang Ancestral Hall Old village before the 1005-year-old reached the age for the oldest old, Dongguan existing trees

Phoenix Park is located in Longshan Village, Feng Gang Town, triple, covered with fruit trees, different spots , mountains bright

ecological park with the sand in the Lower East Side, known as Dongguan wetland landscape

Zhangmutou Kuanyin Mountain is a set of ecological tourism, entertainment, health and religious culture as one of the national tourist attractions

Yinping mountain peak 898 meters above sea level, is the first peak of Dongguan so far Su is also circulating a poem: / p>

Dapingzhang Forest Park is located southwest of Tangxia Town, Dongguan is one of the six forest park

stream Huiyang Forest Park east, north Yin Ping Shan, west of Kwun Yam Shan , south of the town overlooking the clear


Buddha Spirit Lake Country Park is south of Liao Bu Town, known as p>

Shilong Dong Jiang Lei Chau km stretch, Chau Jiaolin Pinnacle, the water in the Green Island, overseas mountains, scenic

mayong Jiaolin planting area, Since its landscape. mayong banana national reputation, and popular throughout the country

Yellow Nioupu reservoir is flood control, water-based medium-sized reservoirs, planning for the lake tour, cycling theme park

Source : December 20, 2010

Let go

 Let go of love come to an end,
I finally learned to let go.
Care as they care for their own injuries,
might as well let go let it.
Loved always feel bad,
But then what would it hurt?
let go and love,
no regrets.
to sadness and pain,
soothe the wounded heart.
the passage of time,
will break up the pain.
since then,
you are you, I am me.
each other become,
familiar strangers.
no longer have the familiar sounds and back,
leaving only the lonely and quiet.

Why China Mobile iphone death grip hold

 Although the marriage of China Unicom and iPhone honeymoon is just beginning, but China Mobile has not given up the eminent Crosses attempt. And now, the sales performance of China Unicom in the iPhone than on the poorly mm to market performance in Europe and America Look, that is really bad the galaxy, but also to invest a lot of variables in this cross-border marriages.
Recently, China Mobile chairman and CEO, Mr Wang said in Hong Kong: I think the iPhone is a good Consumer mobile phone, popular with young customers favor, China Mobile and Apple negotiations are still ongoing. This statement head of China Mobile position, causing the industry a lot of imagination.
one is the world's largest mobile operator, one is the most popular smart phones, there was a marriage of China Mobile and Apple could not last into the sanctity of marriage halls, both for China Mobile, or Apple, it is a life-long regret things. eager to visit China The iPhone and the rush to the introduction of iPhone 3G, China Unicom, Sprint signed a non-exclusive agreement that China Mobile and Apple again later left the unlimited imagination. So, Wang's position is not without the possibility of operation.
frank to say that if Apple is moving in hand, then line up to buy iPhone outside of the hot scenes sure will be repeated, as a shrewd businessman, Apple's Steve Jobs and China Mobile's Wang not unaware of this, do not After all, the two sides may be indifferent mm hand to achieve the , it now appears that China Mobile had to face the lion's mouth of the iPhone, choose to give up, a policy may be playing hard to kill two birds with one stone mm even if it is the purpose of such a powerful iPhone models, in China's telecommunications market, there is no support for China Mobile That can only be regarded as a normal phone, only this and nothing; iPhone's performance in China this time, perhaps China Mobile and Apple will be a bargaining chip, Apple iPhone trying to take advantage of China hit hard carriers will probably crazy plan Therefore, reason and calm get out of China Unicom mm higher price, due to market constraints, they can not produce the kind of large-scale sales of China Mobile to bring the rolling bonus, this way, the negotiations will help China move toward the direction of .
, of course, iPhone select the associated marriage with China Mobile, is expected by consumers: China Mobile, the strongest, the best services, and more importantly, if the iPhone selected China Mobile, is bound to puerile, That means Mobile Edition iPhone iPhone cheaper than Unicom, better service for consumers mm which, after big gospel.